Kate Brown

The Rasmussen poll released yesterday showing House Speaker Jeff Merkley ahead of incumbent Senator Gordon Smith has certainly shaken up what was feeling like a lull in the campaign season.

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Democratic Secretary of State nominee Kate Brown appears to be taking a somewhat lax attitude in her general election race against Republican nominee Rick Dancer.

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Despite some highly contentious Oregon races in the 2008 election, speculation on who will run for Governor in 2010 is mounting regularly.

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Now that the primary dust is beginning to settle, many pundits are speculating which candidates will be victorious in November.  Here is the "conventional wisdom" being spread at the start of this general election season.

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Jeff Merkley and Steve Novick reunited today Portland, portraying a united front for the Democratic effort to unseat U.S. Sen. Gordon Smith (R-Pendleton).

“The choice in this Senate election is crystal clear,” Merkley said. “If you want more of the same -- an agenda scripted by the most powerful special interests -- then Gordon Smith is your man. If you want to change Washington D.C. and set a new direction for America, then join our fight to deliver hope and opportunity to every single American.”

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The new short list for the ’10 Democratic gubernatorial nomination, when Ted Kulongoski is term-limited, might now include: John Kroger, who has no Republican opposition in his bid for Attorney General; Kate Brown, who won a massive victory in the Democratic primary for Secretary of State; Ben Westlund, who is widely expected to become the next State Treasurer; and term-limited State Treasurer Randall Edwards.  Don’t be surprised to see Steve Novick run – his Senate bid left him with a fairly devoted following that would be substantial in a multi-candidate field.

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Kate Brown walked away with the Democratic nomination for Secretary of State tonight, scoring 51 percent of the vote, while opponents Rick Metsger and Vicki Walker had 28 percent and 18 percent, respectively.

Brown’s victory was aided by her large campaign kitty; she has spent $480,000 since January, and was supported by large checks from many of Oregon’s largest unions.

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An hour after results started flowing in, KGW has called a number of races, including John Kroger for Attorney General, Kate Brown for Secretary of State, Kurt Schrader for the Democratic primary in the 5th Congressional District and Mike Erickson for the Republican nomination in the same district.

Sho Dozono has also conceded to Sam Adams in the Portland mayor’s race.

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For those of you who have procrastinated for three weeks and still have not picked a pony in certain races, you can likely find a candidate on your local street corner. more >

On the eve of the Oregon primary, two new polls are showing differing pictures of tomorrow night’s results.

A Suffolk University poll has Sen. Hillary Clinton closing in on rival Sen. Barack Obama, 45 to 41 percent, with a four point margin of error.

Suffolk interviewed 600 likely voters in Oregon, and found the Senators to be competitive for female votes, an important demographic for Clinton.

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